In the context of the foreign exchange market, traders liquidate their positions in various currencies to take up positions in safe-haven currencies, such as the US dollar. Sometimes, the choice of a safe haven currency is more of a choice based on prevailing sentiments rather than one of economic statistics. An example would be the financial crisis of 2008. The value of equities across the world fell while the US dollar strengthened (see Fig.1). This happened despite the strong focus of the crisis in the US.
Fluctuations in exchange rates are usually caused by actual monetary flows as well as by expectations of changes in monetary flows. These are caused by changes in gross domestic product (GDP) growth, inflation (purchasing power parity theory), interest rates (interest rate parity, Domestic Fisher effect, International Fisher effect), budget and trade deficits or surpluses, large cross-border M&A deals and other macroeconomic conditions. Major news is released publicly, often on scheduled dates, so many people have access to the same news at the same time. However, large banks have an important advantage; they can see their customers' order flow.
In the above example, we bet that the EUR will go up against the USD, so we bought EUR/USD hoping to sell it later at a higher price. This is called long position. What should you do if you expect the EUR to go down against the USD? Well, then you do the opposite - you sell the EUR/USD with the hope to buy it cheaper later on. This short trading is how you take advantage of exchange rates that are going down.
The forex market is the largest market in the world with an average trading value over $5 trillion per day. It has no centralized marketplace where transactions are conducted. Forex trading is carried out electronically over-the-counter (OTC), meaning that all trading transactions are performed via computer by traders and other market participants over the world.
Hi there! My name is Kumar, or Mohammad if we’re being formal. I received my Bachelor of Arts in Psychology and Creative Writing minor from Wittenberg University in 2014. I spent a fair amount of time in college performing poetry, working in mental health, and helping start a fraternity. I have a Certificate of Advanced Study in Financial Crime and Compliance Operations from Utica College. I love reading and studying the psychology of millionaires and billionaires. When I’m not reading or writing, I’m watching YouTube videos about cryptocurrency and learning how to trade Forex.
And so we come to the question of how to predict Forex movement? Fortunately, economists created the standard economic calendar, where they make daily predictions around various economic values based upon recent history. It generally contains the following data: date, time, currency, data released, actual, forecast, and previous. There are certain economic figures, which when announced, nearly always have a heavy impact on the movement of the FX market.
Foreign Exchange trading, also known as Forex or FX trading, has gained enormous popularity in recent years among layman individuals due to the growth of online brokers and the technological development of online trading platforms. With high liquidity, non-stop opening hours 5 days a week, and great opportunities, it is no wonder that the forex market is the world’s most traded market with a daily trading volume of $5 trillion USD.
Because the functionality of the trading platform has such a huge impact on your experience trading forex, take the time to try before you buy. Explore the features of your top two or three brokerages, either by diving deeply into their site’s introductory info or by running a demo of their platforms. The platform that’s best for you will feel intuitive and clear: You shouldn’t have to scour the site to find basic functions.
Traders are people who work on the Forex market, trying to ascertain the direction in which the value of a currency will go and make a trade for the purchase or sale of that currency. As such, by buying a currency cheaper and selling it for more, traders earn money on the Forex market. Traders make their decisions based on the analysis of all factors that can affect prices; allowing them to work out precisely in which direction prices are moving. You can make a profit on the Forex market when the value of a currency drops as well as when it increases. Furthermore, traders can make trades on the Forex market from anywhere in the world; from London to Timbuktu.